Maybe this article is just one in a long line of requiems for the Bradley Effect (at least I’m hoping it is). But what if it isn’t and the Bradley Effect still won’t reveal itself as a political myth? It may stand the test of time and proofs to be for real, even in the year 2008.
If you search for „Bradley Effect“ on the Huffington Post, you’ll get to a list of articles, on which I dare to say that every single one is trying to debunk this theory. (I tend to think that they are right and we will not see this election effected by it.)
Now to the point that I’m trying to make: nobody can say for sure that the Bradley Effect is (or has ever been) a political reality. But ask yourself one question: If John McCain wins the 2008 election – it would only be by a very small margin – wouldn’t the first reason that comes to the mind of a common sensed person be that America is not ready yet for a president with a non-white skin and all the polls had been diluted by the trace of the straight and reversed Bradley Effect?
Obama is running such a strong campaign he is leading McCain on every subject (besides foreign policy) and outspending him big. So this couldn’t have been a possible factor. As long as, come November 4th, he is still considered a constitutional American citizen, there is just nothing left to explain a victory of the GOP-ticket.
So here is a perfect alibi for the Republican Party to repeat the sting they managed in 2000 and with one simple argument they can put aside all allegetions concerning voter fraud because the Bradley Effect then can’t be disproofen. So if you don’t believe in this political myth, like me, what else to think after a victory of McCain?
Do you think that the Karl-Rove-scholars behind McCain/Palin could possibly pull that off? Voting machines can be manipulated and 5000 lawyers who will observe the election on behalf of Barack Obama won’t be very usefull – in fact my guess is he should have hired 5000 computer specialists. This is all wild theory of course, but so was the election of 2000.